NYC winter predictions: Here’s how 2 early forecasts stack up as Dec. approaches

NYC winter predictions

NEW YORK’S  — The borough of Staten Island is just months away from the coming of NYC winter and the possibility of snowfall. If frigid conditions are anticipated to evaporate later this week and be replaced by fall weather.

NYC Winter Prediction

Forecasters have started making forecasts for the 2022–2023 season after the previous winter in New York City witnessed less snowfall accumulation and warmer temperatures than usual. 

Staten Island is anticipated to see above-normal temperatures from December through February, according to the NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, which released its seasonal temperature outlook last month.

Even though a minor change from the prediction provided a month earlier in August, Staten Island still has a 40% to 50% chance of experiencing temperatures more extraordinary than those generally seen during the winter. 

Staten Island is among the locales where AccuWeather predicts temperatures in December will be two to three degrees warmer than usual[1]

AccuWeather predicts an upward deviation closer to three degrees in Staten Island, which would be consistent with NOAA’s forecast for a warmer-than-normal winter. 

Massive storms can develop when temperatures are just a little above usual but below freezing. According to the NOAA’s forecast for the following winter, New York City will have precipitation levels that are about average; however certain areas of Western New York may experience precipitation amounts that are over average. Since forecasts were made for the region less than two months ago, they have mainly not changed.

 While the average snowfall at New York City’s Central Park climate station is 29.8 inches, AccuWeather predicted that six to nine days of accumulation would result in 18 and 23 inches. Just around 18 inches of snow fell at the station last winter.

Northern Carolina through Middle New England

Forecasters face a challenging problem due to the high variability of La Nia winters, particularly after three seasons in a row, which is affected by the phenomenon that happens when the water near the equatorial Pacific Ocean is colder than usual.

According to a press release from AccuWeather, “These third-year La Nia’s are exceedingly challenging.”

It will be “cold and snowy” in the Atlantic Corridor, which includes New York City because the area falls under the very cold category. Since the eastern half of the country should prepare for the potentially record-breaking cold, the Almanac’s best description of the winter season along the East Coast is “shivery and snowy.”

From northern North Carolina through middle New England, including the New York City region, snowfall will be heavier than usual. The majority of the eastern US regions that regularly receive snowfall will also suffer above-average snowfall totals due to the freezing temperatures.

According to the Almanac, the Atlantic region will have below-average winter temperatures and above-average precipitation and snowfall.

More Prediction about Weather in Press

The beginning of December, early and late January, and most of February will be the coldest times. Also, prepare your snowshoes and shovels because early to mid-January, late January, and late February will be the snowiest times of the year.

 There were other almanacks, as there had always been a few farmer’s almanacs published when Robert B. Thomas initially posted this one in Massachusetts in 1792. Most were regional magazines that covered local topics and sold in the area. It survived and is now North America’s oldest continuously published periodical.

By custom, the Old Farmer’s Almanac uses three scientific fields to generate long-term forecasts: meteorology, which studies the atmosphere; climatology, which examines current weather trends; and solar science, which examines sunspots and other solar activity. It forecasts NYC weather trends and events by examining solar patterns, past weather patterns, and current solar activity.

Weather in New York City in December

 The onset of winter brings cooler temperatures to New York. Daytime highs are around 43F (6C), and overnight lows are typically 32F. (0C). Even though it won’t be as chilly as January and February, you should still bundle up! In December, the average number of days with below-freezing temperatures is three (-8 C).

Despite the cold, a snowy Christmas seems improbable, despite how cold it is. The average low temperature of 32F (0C) means it is frequently not cold enough for snow to form. In New York, December only sees two days of snow every month on average. Still, December typically has eight days of rain per month[2].

How to pack for New York in Winters?

How to pack for New York in Winters
How to pack for New York in Winters

You must have a warm winter coat! In the winter, the majority of New Yorkers dress in down-filled coats. Bring caps, gloves, and a scarf, too.

Put on layers! Bringing essential layers is worthwhile (thermal clothing). The health thermals from Uniqlo are a good, less expensive choice.

Preserve your feet dry and warm! Streets may become soaked, slippery, and snowy for days if it rains or snows. Boots for winter are necessary—likewise, excellent, toasty socks. When selecting boots, remember that the sidewalks have been salted to melt the ice. Leather boots may become stained by salt!

What to do in New York in December

We suggest year-round activities include climbing a skyscraper, taking a boat cruise to see or visit the Statue of Liberty, visiting museums, and taking a Streetwise New York walking tour of one of the city’s many must-see areas.

Here is a selection of seasonal pursuits and December-only events and offers. Take advantage of the holidays by visiting New York!


According to the Farmers’ Almanac 2022-2023 Winter Outlook, New York City will have to do a lot of shaking, shivering, and shovelings this winter.

This winter will bring chilly temperatures that could cause individuals in the Northeast to hibernate. According to the Almanac, a stormy winter is expected, especially in the country’s east. There may be snow in some spots, but there will likely be more slush and mush in others.

The Farmers’ Almanac forecasts substantial shivers and slushy, icy, and snowy conditions this winter in the Northeast region, including New York City. According to the Almanac, January may be the stormiest month for several places.

Developed by David Young, the Almanac’s first editor, the more than 200-year-old prediction principles are still used today. The guidelines have been somewhat changed into a mathematical and astronomical formula that considers things like sunspot activity, moon tidal action, planet positions, and other things.

Both of the almanacs New York weather and solar trends to anticipate the future; therefore, their predictions are comparable. The Old Farmer’s Almanac dates back to 1792, while the Farmers’ Almanac was first published in 1818.

Winter 2022-2023 – weather forecast in New York

Winter 2022-2023 is expected to be largely cool and sunny. Days will gradually lengthen, as is customary for the season. Winter 2022-2023 will be drier than winter 2021-2022. In general, the season does not call for a lot of precipitation. This winter’s average temperature is 2 °C colder than winter 2021-2022, making it less warm overall. In the winter of 2022-2023, there will be 39 days with temperatures exceeding 3 °C and 37 days with temperatures below 1 °C. The average length of daylight will rise by up to 10 hours. The longest day, which will last 11 hours and 12 minutes, will occur on February 28, 2023. The shortest will take place on December 22, 2022, and will last 9 hours and 15 minutes.

Winter in New York – monthly weather

Winter in New York - monthly weather
Winter in New York – monthly weather

The first month of winter, which has been eagerly anticipated. The month of December 2022 will be a regular winter month. The first actual typical temperature for the season is forecast for December 1, which is sooner than December 2021–2022. There will be a 5 °C average temperature. By the way, December of last year was better. The fluctuating December 2021–2022 average temperature was 7 °C. Long-term precipitation is expected to occur between December 4 and December 24.

January 2023 will be very wintry

The backdrop temperature for the month is going to be low and expected. The temperature will range from -7 °C to 9 °C before January 3rd. The expected weather at the beginning of the month was warm and rainy. The temperature will occasionally rise to 11 °C, which is still below January 2021–2022. Precipitation seems to be sparse during the middle of the season; the majority will fall between January 6 and January 22.

February 2023 will be warm

The typical February temperature in 2023 is 0 °C. The month’s warmest day, which will be on February 3rd with a temperature of 8 °C, will also be its coldest, with an average daily temperature of about -9 °C on February 28. The prognosis for February 2023 is less favorable than it was for the same month during the 2021–2022 season. February will have moderate rainfall. The prognosis is seven days with precipitation, mostly between February 7 and 17[3].

Snow In New York City

Why do you see so much snow in New York City?

This is because ground snow can persist for a long period since temperatures rarely rise above freezing following a big snowfall.

Average snowfall in NYC during the winter:

  •     December – 4.7 inches
  •     January – 7.0 inches
  •     February – 8.4 inches

Snow days in New York City on average:

  •     December – 2.5 days
  •     January – 4.3 days
  •     February – 3.1 days

How Cold Does It Get In New York City In The Winter?

Yes, there is a good chance that you can anticipate cold weather during your winter visit to New York City. However, the weather might vary quite a little throughout December and the days leading up to Christmas.

Just take a look at Christmas Eve and Christmas Day in 2020, when (according to historical meteorological data) average high temperatures in NYC were a comfortable 62 f and 63 f, respectively. A winter coat was less necessary than sunscreen!

It’s nasty in January and February, though. In New York City, January is the coldest month of the year and has the most days with temperatures below freezing. Just a little bit less aggressive is February.

Average low temperatures in New York City:

  •     December – 31.4 f
  •     January – 26.1 f
  •     February – 28.1 f

Number of days below freezing in NYC:

  •     December – 15.1 days
  •     January – 21.1 days
  •     February – 18.9 days

Those inexpensive hotels and flights are beginning to make more sense, right? [4]We spent a lot of time exploring New York on foot in the bitter cold, which made taking photos at sunrise, sunset, and night even more difficult!

What Should You Pack For Your Winter Trip To NYC?

Packing for late fall and winter might be done in December. You could even succeed if you prepare for the worst while hoping for the best. But you should bring a lot of winter clothing for January and February.

You will need to bring a thick, insulated winter coat, even though it is difficult to pack and takes up a lot of space if you are flying. Without ours, we couldn’t have endured the winter in New York.

For warmth, hats, gloves, and scarves should be standard issue, and you can dress them up if necessary. The use of basic layers is not excessive. In order to stay warm, we frequently wore excellent moisture-wicking base layers, particularly pants, so that all that was needed for protection was a pair of jeans on top.

If it snows, footwear is crucial. In the snow, those soft Ugg boots won’t do the trick. Neither will athletic shoes or stylish shoes, for that matter. To keep your feet warm and dry, you will need a pair of sturdy and/or waterproof shoes[5]

Best Places To Stay In NYC During Winter

The most difficult element of organising your trip, no matter the season, can be deciding which hotel to stay in which NYC area. However, the winter offers you a far higher opportunity to find a deal, especially in January and February.

You can determine the ideal location to set up your NYC headquarters with the help of our wildly popular where to stay in New York City hotels and area guide.

Here are four of the hotels we notice get the greatest activity, in case you don’t have time to read our whole guide:

  •     One of our particular favourites, The Archer, is located close to Bryant Park and offers views of the Empire State Building.
  •     CitizenM is a Times Square hotel conveniently located near Broadway and Rockefeller Center.
  •     Rooftop bar MOXY NYC is convenient to Times Square and Penn Station.
  •     Between Midtown and Chelsea is the Cambria Hotel, a reasonably priced, highly-rated hotel with a rooftop patio.


[1] Joseph Ostapiuk, 5 Oct 2022, NYC winter predictions by Silive[}

[2] : AuthorMark and Kristen Morgan, October 4, 2022 by Morgans []

[3] ViseMetio , 2022, []

[4] Street New York Tours, 2022 []

[5] Jenifer Rose, 2021, What to Pack For Your Winter Vacation to New York City? []

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