New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos Odds and Betting Preview

Denver Broncos Odds and Betting Preview

SophiaOctober 31, 2022

0 9 minutes read

New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos Odds and Betting Preview

The big news is that Denver Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson will not play due to a nagging hamstring injury, and backup Brett Rypien will start. The line was changed from Denver -1.5 to Denver +1.5 due to the ruling.

After defeating Green Bay 27-10 at Lambeau Field, the Jets have won three straight games. New York is one win away from matching its season total, and its three road triumphs in three tries are more than the previous two seasons combined (2-14).

The Broncos lost their second straight overtime and third consecutive game overall, losing 19-16 as 3.5-point underdogs against the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday. Denver has scored 16 or fewer points in five of its six games, and the Under is also 5-1 in those six games.

The New York Jets (4-2) face the Denver Broncos (2-4) at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver. The game is fixed to begin at 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS). We examine Recent amendments to the Jets vs. Broncos matchup Odds and Betting Preview. [1]

BETTING ANALYSIS FOR THE DENVER BRONCOS

To say the Broncos have had awful luck would be an understatement. The team is coming off a second straight OT loss, this time against the Los Angeles Chargers. Denver had a good start but just three points after halftime. Again, they fail to complete a game in which they are leading.

When you look at their data, it’s simple to understand why this club is suffering. They are dead last in points and touchdowns per game and 30th in third-down conversions. Their offense is objectively wrong, and expecting anything better in Week 8 is foolish.

While their offense is terrible

While their offense is terrible, Denver’s defense is excellent, ranking among the top five in points allowed, yards allowed, and touchdowns allowed per game.

Last season, the Broncos entered the home stretch with a 7-6 record, just one game off of a playoff place. However, Teddy Bridgewater sustained a season-Denver limped to the finish line with an 0-4 record, culminating in a season record of 7-10.

Denver’s defense is seldom an issue, as the Broncos were second in points allowed and ninth in total yards last season (18.9 PPG, 326 YPG), and they are fourth in scoring and third in yardage far this season (16.5 PPG, 290 YPG).

So adding a high-profile quarterback looked like an easy remedy, but that hasn’t been the case for Denver’s offense. The Broncos have now gained 16 points or fewer in five of their first six games, which is devastating after averaging 20.4 points per game in Bridgewater’s 14 starts last year.

BETTING ANALYSIS FOR THE NEW YORK JETS

The Jets are soaring high as they prepare to face the Broncos in Denver. They’ve won three straight and are coming off a big win over the Packers and Aaron Rodgers. However, the Jets will face the most vigorous defense in 2022 when they face the Broncos. Denver ranks first in the league in yards per throw and eighth in yards per carry.

Despite their recent surge, the Jets’ offense is not very spectacular. The Jets upset Green Bay, but Wilson only went 10-for-18 for 110 yards and zero touchdowns. Breece Hall, the offense’s most productive player, is ranked 391st in yards.

New York Jets finished dead

Last season, the New York Jets finished dead last in the AFC East with a 4-13 record, tied for third-worst in league with the Giants (4-13), with the only teams dropping behind them in the final standings being the Lions (3-13-1) and Jaguars (3-13-1). (3-14).

The Jets had flashes of brilliance during Zach Wilson’s first season, as New York pulled off a huge upset victory over the Titans and Bengals early in the year, but they lacked consistency on offense, scoring less than 20 points in nine games last year (18.2 PPG).

Ranks dead last

When paired with a defense that ranks dead last in both scoring and overall yardage, this is a formula for catastrophe (29.6 PPG, 398 YPG).

However, in the early parts of this season, the Jets scored 24+ points in four of their first six games (23.8 points per game), while their defense now ranks 17th in scoring and 9th in total yardage (21.3 PPG, 313 YPG).

The Jets are incredibly healthy heading into Week 7. Except for three injured reserve-designated players (Mekhi Becton, George Fant, and Max Mitchell), Saleh’s club is as healthy as any in the NFL.

Rookie Jermaine Johnson will miss his second consecutive game due to an ankle injury, but that’s about it. Besides Ashtyn Davis, who is iffy due to a hammy, Elijah Moore will be the only other scratch, and it’s a healthy scratch because of his weekly shenanigans over not receiving enough ball. [2]

New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos Odds

Jets -125 (bet $125 to win $100) vs. Broncos +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
ATS (against the spread): Broncos +1.5 (-115) | Jets -1.5 (-115) (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 37.5 (O: -115) [3]

Why The Jets Might Be Able To Cover The Spread

At first glimpse of the schedule over the offseason, nobody believed the Jets to have a shot against Russell Wilson and the Broncos in the Mile High City, but it’s incredible how things can change so quickly. For starters, if the Jets can take care of the small things and avoid a slow start, they may be able to cover the spread. With a chance to have their best six-game start since 2015, New York must manage possession time and apply pressure on a Denver squad that is dead bottom in scoring offense.

The Jets have been a fierce defensive squad, limiting opposing offenses to 21 points per game and fewer than 330 yards of offense. If the Jets can force Denver into three-and-outs and wear out the Broncos’ defense, they should have a good chance of covering the spread and improving to 4-0 on the road.

Why The Jets Might Be Able To Cover The Spread

As terrible as the Broncos’ offense has been, they have arguably demonstrated to the rest of the league that they have the best defenses in the NFL. The Broncos have conceded fewer than 20 points in four of the games this season and are allowing the opposition to score a meager 16.5 points per game. With the offense failing to show even a faint heartbeat, Denver will have to rely on a defense that has looked Super Bowl-worthy to get them closer to.500 in the win-loss column.

Whatever player the Broncos use, it will be critical to get the rushing game going and stay ahead of the sticks against a stout Jets defense.

New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos Preview

This Denver Broncos squad is floundering, ranking 22nd in overall offense and dead bottom in points per game. The absence of Russell Wilson exacerbates the situation, despite some over thinkers believing that youthful Brett Rypien improves their prospects.

Denver’s defense, on the other hand, is a different story. The Bronco’s offense continues to struggle after scoring only 16 points against a weak Chargers defense in week six. They finally got off to a terrific start against the Chargers, with QB Russell Wilson closing off their first drive with a 39-yard touchdown pass to TE Greg Dulcich, but they only scored nine points the rest of the way.

Patrick Surtain

It’s a fantastic bunch led by Patrick Surtain that might give Zach Wilson, and Mike LaFleur fits. Surtain shadowing Garrett Wilson may be a fascinating battle, as Wilson will have to disseminate the ball more.

The Jets are on a roll, but still don’t trust them enough to beat a stout Denver defense. Similarly, the Broncos’ attack does not do well against the top-ten scoring defense of the Jets.

The Jets are coming off a decisive 27-10 victory against last year’s NFC #1 seed. The Jets’ defense has been making big plays, such as DT Quinnen Williams, who had two sacks, a blocked field goal, and a forced fumble in the win over the Packers. [4]

Demonstrating

After finishing dead last in yards allowed last season, the Jet’s defense has risen to ninth this season, demonstrating that they’ve become a far more complete team. The offense has also improved, with QB Zach Wilson looking more at ease after returning from injury in week 4. They were the fifth-worst scoring offense last season and are now the ninth-best this season. Their run game has also improved, with Breece Hall rushing for 116 yards vs. the Packers.

However, the Jets’ offensive success will most likely be determined by their running assault. Can it replicate Breece Hall and Michael Carter’s success in Green Bay last week? If this is the case, the Jets will be in terrific condition on the road. As a result, Sports betting on the UNDER in this game makes perfect sense. 38 points is a low standard, but so are our expectations of these offenses.

We’ll go with the New York Jets, who defeated the Denver Broncos 26-16, with Braxton Berrios breaking out for a receiving score and over 100 yards through the air. [5]

Developing strategies for victory

With a preseason win total of 5.5, the New York Jets were predicted to be one of the worst teams in the NFL. Surprisingly, the Jets have been closer to the top of the AFC standings than the bottom. Last Sunday, New York defeated the Packers by a score of 27-10. Green Bay and New York gained 278 yards last week, but New York forced the game’s sole turnover. The Jet’s defense also had four sacks. The Jet’s offense was only 1 for 11 on third downs but scored on a 20-yard punt block.

The Jets rank 17th in total offense and 9thin total defense (313.2 yards per game). At quarterback, 89Zach Wilson will receive the start. Wilson has completed 56% of his passes for 572 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions in three games this season. Breece Hall, the squad’s rookie running back, leads the team with 391 yards on 5.1 yards per carry.

Will this approach improve before it’s too late?

While the Jets have been one of the NFL’s most pleasant surprises, the Broncos have been one of the greatest letdowns. Denver had an over/under victory total of 10.5 sets before the season began, so getting to seven wins might be difficult with their current run.

Russell Wilson, who committed to a 5-year agreement for up to $245 million, has not had a stellar start. Wilson ranks 26th in QBR with 58.6% completions for five touchdowns, 1,442 yards, and three interceptions. Denver ranks 22nd in total offense, averaging 329.3 yards per game while scoring 152.2.

Broncos’ defense ranks fourth

The Broncos’ defense ranks fourth in scoring defense, allowing 16.5 points per game, and third in total protection, allowing 290.3 yards per game. With Wilson sidelined due to a hamstring injury, enter Brett Rypien. His lone other start came against the Jets in 2020, when he passed for 242 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions in a Denver victory.

The Broncos led the Chargers 10-0 in the first quarter on Monday night before losing 19-16 overtime. Denver was outgained 297-258 in total yards and converted only 4 of 14 third-down opportunities.

Key Matchups: Jets vs. Broncos

The key matchups and mismatches for the Jets versus the Broncos are listed below.

Broncos Pass Defense vs. Jets Pass Offense

The Broncos’ defense, notably their fifth-ranked pass defense, may provide them an advantage against the Jets. Given their mediocre offense, the Bronco’s secondary has been crucial in keeping them in games. The Jets’ offense is attempting to find traction in the absence of Zach Wilson. Who missed the first three games due to a meniscus injury. Wilson threw no interceptions in their massive win against the Packers. But he only passed for 118 yards and complete only 55.6% of his attempts.

If the Jets want to move the ball against this powerful Broncos defense, he will need to be more productive.

Jets Secondary vs. Broncos Receiving Corps

Though the Broncos’ receiving corps is talented, their productivity hasn’t reflected that. We’ve seen spectacular plays from wide receivers Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton, and K.J. Hamler, as well as TE Greg Dulcich following his big score against the Chargers.

However, lackluster play calling by HC Nathaniel Hackett, paired with uncertain quarterback Russell Wilson, has prevented these guys from busting out. Their showdown against a Jets passes defense that allows only 207.8 yards per game will not help. The Jets’ secondary has been led by rookie “Sauce” Gardner and veteran DJ Reed.

According to Next Gen Stats, Gardner had the most outstanding performance in man coverage this season. The allowing only one 6-yard reception in 40-man coverage attempts.